From Noise to Meaning: Sifting “Course Repeat Rates” Through Systems Theory

Institutional research extends beyond data analysis, often functioning as a systemic process of self-observation in higher education. Even a cursory understanding of Luhmann’s Social Systems Theory reveals how the operation of self-observation is the necessary condition for the possibility of transforming raw data into actionable insights. It is precisely this process that enables universities to sift through vast amounts of information to identify, for example, key academic bottlenecks that influence student success—often without explicitly relying on theoretical frameworks. Therefore, recognizing metrics such as Course Repeat Rates (CRR) as institutional operations presents an opportunity to illustrate how data-driven decision-making aligns with social systems theory. By providing a framework for analyzing complex interdependencies and communication flows within educational institutions, Luhmann’s theory empowers institutional researchers to uncover underlying patterns and dynamics previously inaccessible through conventional IR approaches. The significance of this alignment for institutional research simply cannot be overestimated.

Institutional research often grapples with vast amounts of raw data, seeking to transform it into actionable insights that inform academic policy. One such dataset—Course Repeat Rates (CRR)—holds significant potential for understanding student progression and the structural barriers within degree programs. In a previous post, I examined how repeat rates function as indicators of academic bottlenecks, identifying courses that either facilitate student advancement or obstruct it. However, this exploration gains deeper analytical clarity when framed within Niklas Luhmann’s systems theory, particularly his model of how information moves from noise to signal to meaning.

Luhmann’s theories provide a robust conceptual foundation for understanding how universities, as autopoietic systems, filter, interpret, and act upon information. By situating institutional research within the broader academic discourse of systems theory, we do more than analyze data—we engage in a theoretical discussion about how knowledge is produced and operationalized within higher education.

Luhmann argues that systems exist in environments saturated with information, most of which is mere noise. Noise, in this sense, represents unprocessed data—vast amounts of student performance records, enrollment figures, and academic results that, without context, remain unintelligible. When examining course repeat rates, the initial dataset is just that: a collection of numbers indicating how many students enroll, pass, fail, or repeat specific courses. At this stage, the data is indiscriminate and without interpretive structure. It does not yet communicate anything meaningful to the institution.

The process of identifying signal occurs when the university system begins to filter through this mass of data, isolating patterns that warrant attention. Some courses emerge as outliers, with disproportionately high repeat rates. These courses potentially hinder student progression, delaying graduation and increasing dropout risks. Here, the system differentiates between random variations and persistent academic obstacles, recognizing that certain courses act as gatekeepers. The repeat rate ceases to be just a statistic; it becomes a signal—a piece of information that demands further investigation.

Yet, a signal alone does not equate to meaning. In Luhmannian terms, meaning only emerges when signals are contextualized within the system’s self-referential operations. At the institutional level, this means interpreting course repeat rates not merely as numerical trends but as reflections of deeper structural and pedagogical issues. The university, as a system, must ask: Are these high-repeat courses designed in ways that disproportionately disadvantage students? Do they require curricular revisions? Should additional academic support structures be implemented? Through this process of self-referential engagement, the institution constructs meaning from the data and translates it into policy discussions, resource allocations, and strategic interventions.

By framing course repeat rates within Luhmann’s meaning-making, institutional research becomes more than just data analysis—it becomes a theoretical exercise in understanding how universities process, adapt, and evolve. Higher education institutions are not passive recipients of data; they are systems that continuously redefine themselves through the selective interpretation of information. In this way, the study of course repeat rates, for example, demonstrates how institutional research could be deeply embedded in systems theory, shaping academic policies through an ongoing feedback loop of observation, selection, and adaptation.

This discussion (and this blog) is an attempt to locate institutional research within the epistemological framework of systems theory. By invoking Luhmann, we recognize that data-driven decision-making in higher education is not a straightforward process of collecting numbers and drawing conclusions. It is a complex, systemic function, where institutions filter out noise, extract meaningful signals, and ultimately construct the knowledge that informs their operations. Thus, tracking course repeat rates is not just about measuring academic performance—it is about understanding how universities, as self-referential systems, generate meaning from information and use it to sustain their functions.

Analyzing Course Repeat Rates as Indicators of Academic Progression

Student progression and eventual graduation are directly bound to the successful completion of a series of mandatory courses. These courses not only form the backbone of degree programs but also serve as critical gatekeepers in a student’s academic journey. This exploration seeks to investigate Course Repeat Rate (CRR) as a potential indicator of a course’s significance in determining academic progression and graduation outcomes. Given that students must repeat and pass required courses to advance through their programs, the frequency with which these courses are repeated by students enrolled in the same degree programmes provides valuable insights into their role as pivotal checkpoints within degree pathways.

From time to time I am tasked with examining data trends that influence our academic environment. Recently, a request from one of our faculty prompted a closer investigation into the role of compulsory service courses within our university. These courses sometimes appear to be barriers, preventing students from advancing efficiently through their degree programs.

In addressing this Issue, I proposed focusing on the course repeat rate as a tool for understanding these academic obstacles. At UCT, like many institutions worldwide, students’ progression and graduation depend on completing a series of mandatory courses. When students fail these required courses, they must retake and pass them to progress or graduate. This situation provides an opportunity to analyze how often these courses are repeated across various degree programs. By doing so, we can identify which courses function as significant gatekeepers in academic progression.

The importance of identifying high repeat rate courses lies in their dual role: facilitating student advancement or hindering it. By concentrating on these ‘gatekeeper’ courses, we can explore opportunities for intervention through curriculum modifications or additional support mechanisms. The goal is to ensure these courses act more as facilitators rather than barriers. My proposal suggests using course repeat rates not just as data points but as indicators of importance within our academic structure. This approach aims to enhance educational efficacy at UCT by improving individual student outcomes and refining institutional practices.